Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004539 0.004781 0.005030 0.005305 0.005601 0.005910 0.006258
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004171 0.004538 0.004931 0.005387 0.005902 0.006467 0.007140
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003896 0.004330 0.004810 0.005383 0.006054 0.006818 0.007763
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003666 0.004143 0.004682 0.005342 0.006135 0.007067 0.008259
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003447 0.003947 0.004523 0.005244 0.006130 0.007197 0.008601
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003269 0.003787 0.004394 0.005166 0.006135 0.007329 0.008941
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003157 0.003697 0.004340 0.005173 0.006239 0.007582 0.009441
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002964 0.003500 0.004144 0.004990 0.006088 0.007495 0.009481
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002884 0.003436 0.004109 0.005005 0.006190 0.007738 0.009974
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002862 0.003443 0.004162 0.005134 0.006444 0.008191 0.010783
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002759 0.003343 0.004073 0.005071 0.006435 0.008284 0.011081
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002678 0.003269 0.004013 0.005043 0.006471 0.008438 0.011473
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002587 0.003178 0.003930 0.004983 0.006460 0.008529 0.011782
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002554 0.003163 0.003946 0.005057 0.006642 0.008905 0.012551
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002494 0.003109 0.003908 0.005054 0.006712 0.009117 0.013076
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002425 0.003040 0.003847 0.005016 0.006727 0.009247 0.013475
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002342 0.002950 0.003753 0.004926 0.006661 0.009249 0.013660
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002269 0.002872 0.003674 0.004854 0.006619 0.009283 0.013900
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002228 0.002835 0.003650 0.004861 0.006693 0.009502 0.014466
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002129 0.002717 0.003509 0.004693 0.006494 0.009276 0.014245
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002096 0.002689 0.003493 0.004707 0.006575 0.009505 0.014838
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002098 0.002709 0.003547 0.004825 0.006824 0.010016 0.015979
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002044 0.002650 0.003484 0.004767 0.006790 0.010058 0.016253